Match Details
- Fixture: (6) Taylor Fritz vs (7) Alex de Minaur
- Date: November 13, 2025
- Tournament: ATP Finals
- Round: Group Stage
- Venue: Inalpi Arena, Turin, Italy
- Category: Year-end championships
- Surface: Hard (Indoor)
- Prize Money: $15,500,000
- Live Telecast: USA Tennis Channel | UK Sky Sports | Canada TSN
Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaur Preview
Sixth seed Taylor Fritz will square off against seventh seed Alex de Minaur in the group stage of the ATP Finals 2025. Fritz kicked off his campaign in Turin with a routine 6-3, 6-4 win over Lorenzo Musetti.
In his next group tie, Fritz faced top seed Carlos Alcaraz. The American overcame a break deficit in the first set and took it in a tie-break. Fritz looked poised to take the second set as well but Alcaraz turned the tide, ultimately breaking serve at 6-5 to force a decider. Fritz’s level dipped slightly in the third set, allowing Alcaraz to pull ahead. Despite saving three match points, Fritz lost the match 6-7 (2), 7-5, 6-3.
On the other hand, Alex de Minaur started his group stage with a 7-6 (5), 6-2 loss to Alcaraz. He then faced local favorite Musetti. Both players started strong, but the first set went to Musetti after a late three-game run. De Minaur bounced back by winning the second set in similar fashion.
In the deciding set, de Minaur managed to get a break and was serving for the match. However, Musetti staged a four-game run to secure a 7-5, 3-6, 7-5 victory over the Aussie.
Head-to-Head: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaur
Their rivalry is currently tied at 5-5. Fritz won their most recent encounter at the Davis Cup Finals 2024 in straight sets.
Odds
Odds will be added once they’re available.
Prediction
Fritz learned the hard way that even minor slip-ups against a player like Alcaraz can be costly, despite playing at a very high level. Meanwhile, de Minaur’s struggles at the ATP Finals continue; he went 0-3 during the group stage last year as well and will be eager to avoid another washout in Turin.
There is still hope for both players, however. All participants in their group remain in contention for the semifinals. That said, with two losses, de Minaur faces the toughest path forward.
De Minaur’s defensive tactics have historically matched well against Fritz’s offensive style, reflected in their balanced 5-5 head-to-head record. The American has won their last two matches, including a comeback victory at last year’s ATP Finals.
Moreover, de Minaur has struggled significantly against top 10 players this year, holding a 1-10 record—the worst since his 0-6 mark in 2021. Given this, Fritz is favored to win this contest.
Pick: Taylor Fritz to win in straight sets.
Betting Tips
- Tip 1: Taylor Fritz to win.
- Tip 2: The match will have at least 22 games.
